2024-12-13 10:28:29
Institutional analysis of the European Central Bank's interest rate resolution: the European Central Bank cut interest rates by 0.25 percentage points, aiming to stabilize the economy that was hit by French debt concerns and trade tariffs that were highly exposed to the threat of US President-elect Trump.Central Economic Work Conference: Keep the RMB exchange rate basically stable at a reasonable and balanced level. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. The meeting proposed to implement a moderately loose monetary policy. Give full play to the dual functions of the total amount and structure of monetary policy tools, reduce the RRR and interest rates in a timely manner, maintain sufficient liquidity, and match the scale of social financing and the growth of money supply with the expected goals of economic growth and overall price level. Keep the RMB exchange rate basically stable at a reasonable and balanced level. Explore and expand the macro-prudential and financial stability functions of the central bank, innovate financial instruments, and maintain the stability of the financial market.Analysts commented on the ECB's interest rate cut, and Christiansen, an analyst at Danske Bank, said that the restrictive hawkish tendency in the ECB's policy has been eliminated. However, there is no indication that the bank may cut interest rates sharply, and there is no indication that the terminal interest rate will fall. Carsten Brzeski, head of international macro business in the Netherlands, said that the European Central Bank decided to play it safe today and cut interest rates by 25 basis points. No more mention of "restrictive" monetary policy, which means there will be more interest rate cuts in the future. Analyst Randow said that the change in the wording of the European Central Bank indicates that the ECB Committee has discussed the neutral interest rate. Otherwise, how can they decide what is restrictive and what is lenient? I am curious about what Lagarde will say next. Vassilis, a foreign exchange strategist, said that the euro fell to a new low because the European Central Bank gave up the "restrictive policy" part of the statement, but this does not mean that the policy language is completely dovish. Bonds in the euro zone are in a moderate trend.
The gap between Italian and German government bond yields widened to 111 basis points, the highest level in a week.Market News: Doctors say Brazilian President Lula is fully capable of signing official documents.Trump was elected as Time Magazine's Person of the Year for the second time, and Time Magazine awarded Donald Trump, who is about to re-enter the White House, with the recognition of his amazing political comeback and his historic year of assassination attempt and felony conviction. This result also confirms the general expectation. Since Bush in 2000, the magazine has awarded this honor to the winner in every presidential election. Trump was also named the magazine's person of the year when he first won the US election in 2016.
Spot gold fell by $5 in the short term and is now reported at $2,704 per ounce.Germany's current account surplus in October was 12.497 billion euros.Market news: the agency said that the number of people applying for unemployment benefits in the United States jumped to the highest level in two months, but it was still at a low level.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13